i40 Intelligence
The Ledger
Every conviction call the desk makes, live-scored against end-of-day data — entry, thesis, confidence, falsifier, and how it’s actually going. Wins and losses stay on this page permanently.
Opened 2026-07-02 · Issue 2026-W28 · horizon Late August 2026 · confidence 80%
The autonomous melt-up is priced; Section 232 tariff risk is not. Tariffs would shatter US deployer ROI and stall adoption — XLI's domestic base absorbs the friction.
Falsifier: Executive rejection of the Section 232 robotics tariff
Spread = pair performance in percentage points since entry; positive means the call is working. End-of-day data via Yahoo Finance, updated each trading day. Hypothetical scoring of published commentary — not a managed portfolio, not investment advice.